TY - BOOK AU - Page, Scott E. TI - The model thinker : : what you need to know to make data work for you SN - 9781541675711 U1 - 001.4226 PY - 2021/// CY - New York PB - Basic Books, KW - Social sciences--Mathematical models KW - Social systems--Mathematical models KW - Complexity (Philosophy) KW - Information visualization KW - Data mining N1 - The many-model thinker ; Why model? ; The science of many models ; Modeling human actors ; Normal distributions : the bell curve ; Power-law distributions : long tails ; Linear models ; Concavity and convexity ; Models of value and power ; Network models ; Broadcast, diffusion, and contagion ; Entropy : modeling uncertainty ; Random walks ; Path dependence ; Local interaction models ; Lyapunov functions and equilibria ; Markov models ; Systems dynamics models ; Threshold models with feedbacks ; Spatial and hedonic choice ; Game theory models times three ; Models of cooperation ; Collective action problems ; Mechanism design ; Signaling models ; Models of learning ; Multi-armed bandit problems ; Rugged-landscape models ; Opioids, inequality, and humility N2 - From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models--from linear regression to random walks and far beyond--that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage ER -